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Immigration may be America's primary population growth driver by 2027
America is on its way to becoming a minority-majority nation.
May 17th, 2013
04:42 PM ET

Immigration may be America's primary population growth driver by 2027

By Moni Basu, CNN

(CNN) - Here's something to consider as Congress debates overhauling America's immigration system: For the first time since at least 1850, immigrants will be the primary driver of U.S. population.

Births have been the leading cause of population growth since the U.S. Census Bureau began collecting data in 1850. That may change within the next 14 years.

The population growth shifts could happen as early as 2027 or as late as 2038, depending, of course, on the numbers of international arrivals over the next few years.

Not that immigration levels are at their highest, cautioned Thomas Mesenbourg, the Census Bureau's senior adviser. The rates were much higher during the late 19th and early 20th centuries.

But Americans are having fewer babies.

"This projected milestone reflects the mix of our nation's declining fertility rates, the aging of the baby boomer population and continued immigration," Mesenbourg said.

The Census Bureau issued three projections of population growth shifts based on different immigration levels. A high immigration projection showed that the nation's non-white population would jump from 37% in 2012 to 58.8% in 2060. Hispanics would make up 29.9% of the population, compared with 17% in 2012, and Asians would climb from 5.1% to 9%.

Non-Latino whites are projected to no longer be a majority by 2046, even if immigration levels stay the same.

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Filed under: Diversity • Ethnicity • Immigration • Latino in America • Population • Who we are
soundoff (6 Responses)
  1. Yolo

    Whites are about to lose the country they stole from the native Americans haha

    May 20, 2013 at 12:16 pm | Report abuse |
  2. Pete

    American caucasians are in the minority right now and your Mexican immigrents of years ago are new and rising populus..Just check statistics and you'll gasp at the jump in population growth of just one ethnic group..It was shown somewhere on these sites for every caucasian birth there would be 4-5 Mexican,Hispanic births as well and our country was never built or structured to handle such an influx and you'll see in most southern states in time just what I mean in not only cultural shifts but political,economic ones as well to suit these new Americans at yours and mines expense!!!

    May 20, 2013 at 9:32 am | Report abuse |